Closing the Loop: Co-Evolving EM for Irregular Time Series Generation in Lifted Representations

arXiv:2611.14659v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Regular time-series generation from irregular time series is typically reduced to one-shot imputation: complete each partial sequence once, freeze the completions, and train a generator on the resulting surrogate dataset. We show that this open-loop strategy is structurally flawed. Point imputers collapse ambiguous missing regions to conditional averages, while stochastic imputers become stale as the generator evolves; the binding constraint is therefore iteration, not imputer design. We introduce a co-evolving Monte Carlo EM framework that closes the imputer-generator loop.