arXiv:2611.15049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Humanity has long sought to explain natural phenomena. Reliable prediction of experimental outcomes is a central test of our understanding of the processes that produce them. If artificial general intelligence (AGI) is to surpass human scientific capabilities, it must also predict experimental outcomes more reliably than humans. Such capabilities could accelerate scientific discovery across disciplines, help address humanity's most pressing challenges, and improve human well-being. We introduce Science Prediction Universe (SPU), a benchmark of hidden experimental outcomes with 100 public verified tasks from chemistry, materials science, biology and medicine, and 16 private tasks from unpublished wet-lab experiments.
Artificial Intelligence · 2026-11-13
Science Prediction Universe
arXiv:2611.15049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Humanity has long sought to explain natural phenomena. Reliable prediction of experimental outcomes is a central test of our understanding of the processes that produce them. If artificial general intelligence (AGI) is to surpass human scientific capabilities, it must also predict experimental outcomes more reliably than humans.
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